Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erzurumspor FK v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals
Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Manisa FK
T1L
1-3
HT 0-0
Manisa FK
T1L
0-0
HT 0-0
Erzurumspor FK
T1L
1-0
HT 1-0
Manisa FK
T1L
Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics
Erzurumspor FK squeezed past Manisa FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Erzurumspor FK as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 57% of the ball to Manisa FK's 43%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.68 to 0.17 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Erzurumspor FK's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manisa FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.17 for Manisa FK.
What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa FK?
Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 48%, draw 27%, Manisa FK 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.