Gençlerbirliği 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.2
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
16%
4.23
X/2
9%
9.81
X/X
10%
5.08
2/1
7%
23.75
2/2
12%
8.0
2/X
8%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 23%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -22%
1.50/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.54
-26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
25.0 Crosses 18.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 3-1 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
04.03.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
07.10.2023 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1-0
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.98 xG 0.53
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 289
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği nicked a narrow win over Şanlıurfaspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gençlerbirliği as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 55% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 45%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.98 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Gençlerbirliği's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 1.67 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Gençlerbirliği 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 50%, draw 24%, Şanlıurfaspor 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gençlerbirliği), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
28 Mar 2025
16:00 Boluspor vs Bandırmaspor Analysis →
16:00 Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa FK Analysis →
20:30 Iğdır FK vs Ümraniyespor Analysis →