NEC vs Uganda Police Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC v Uganda Police — Team-Based Signals
NEC vs Uganda Police Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
NEC 2-2 Uganda Police — Actual Match Statistics
NEC and Uganda Police couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was NEC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, NEC had 51% of the ball to Uganda Police's 49%, shots finished 13-13.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for NEC and 0.50 for Uganda Police.
What was the final score of NEC vs Uganda Police?
NEC 2-2 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC vs Uganda Police?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split NEC 53%, draw 21%, Uganda Police 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NEC), Under 2.5 went the other way.