Uganda Police 1-1 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

Uganda Police
1-1 HT 0-1
NEC
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Uganda Police vs NEC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
25%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+2.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uganda Police v NEC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 55%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
0.24/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.00
-73% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Uganda Police vs NEC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda Police
0W-1D-0L
AWAY NEC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2024 NEC NEC 0-0 HT 0-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA

Uganda Police 1-1 NEC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uganda Police
1-1
AWAY NEC
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uganda Police vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uganda Police and NEC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was NEC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Uganda Police had 47% of the ball to NEC's 53%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of Uganda Police vs NEC?

Uganda Police 1-1 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 23%, draw 30%, NEC 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (NEC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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