BUL 3-0 Kiboga Young — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
16%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-8.1pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.2pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.0pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 14%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.35/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/2.18
-33% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -22%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
489 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kiboga Young
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Kiboga Young 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
3-0
AWAY Kiboga Young
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH BUL vs Kiboga Young
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL ran out comfortable winners over Kiboga Young 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had BUL as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, BUL had 57% of the ball to Kiboga Young's 43%, shots finished 14-3.

What was the final score of BUL vs Kiboga Young?

BUL 3-0 Kiboga Young in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Kiboga Young?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split BUL 61%, draw 21%, Kiboga Young 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BUL), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BUL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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