Lugazi Municipal 1-0 Wakiso Giants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-11.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
21%
+13.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.5pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Wakiso Giants EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.00/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.54
-21% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugazi Municipal
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Wakiso Giants
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
3 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.11.2024 Wakiso Giants Wakiso Giants 0-0 HT 0-0 Lugazi Municipal UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugazi Municipal
1-0
AWAY Wakiso Giants
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lugazi Municipal vs Wakiso Giants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugazi Municipal edged past Wakiso Giants 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lugazi Municipal found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lugazi Municipal had 44% of the ball to Wakiso Giants's 56%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Lugazi Municipal vs Wakiso Giants?

Lugazi Municipal 1-0 Wakiso Giants in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugazi Municipal vs Wakiso Giants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugazi Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lugazi Municipal 38%, draw 28%, Wakiso Giants 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugazi Municipal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lugazi Municipal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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