SS Monopoli 1-1 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.13
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
6.1
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-5.3pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.31/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.24
+13% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
233 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-3 HT 1-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
06.11.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-2 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
14.05.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-1 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
30.01.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-3 HT 0-2 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
24.09.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
1-1
AWAY Audace Cerignola
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli and Audace Cerignola shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 54% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 46%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for SS Monopoli and 1.40 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola?

SS Monopoli 1-1 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 30%, draw 30%, Audace Cerignola 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Audace Cerignola), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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