Audace Cerignola 1-3 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.85
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.51/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.27
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
1W-1D-2L
AWAY SS Monopoli
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-2 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
14.05.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-1 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
30.01.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-3 HT 0-2 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
24.09.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
1-3
AWAY SS Monopoli
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli beat Audace Cerignola 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 29% — and on the day SS Monopoli made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 68% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 32%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Audace Cerignola and 2.00 for SS Monopoli.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?

Audace Cerignola 1-3 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 39%, draw 31%, SS Monopoli 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
10 Mar 2024
16:00 SPAL vs Rimini Analysis →
16:00 Lucchese vs Olbia 1905 Analysis →
16:00 Sassari Torres vs Virtus Entella Analysis →
16:00 Brindisi vs SSC Giugliano Analysis →
18:15 GIANA Erminio vs Padova Calcio Analysis →
18:45 Catania vs Rossoblu Potenza Analysis →