Köln (K) 1-4 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 18 Nov 2024

Köln (K)
1-4 HT 0-1
Werder Bremen (K)
📅18/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Köln (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.66
No
58%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.6pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln (K) v Werder Bremen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
1.63/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.99
-2% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
23.1 Crosses 31.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Köln (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.84 xG 2.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 11
184 Passes 199
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Köln (K) Köln (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB

Köln (K) 1-4 Werder Bremen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln (K)
1-4
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
0.61 xG 2.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
348 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
5 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Köln (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen (K) ran out comfortable winners over Köln (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Werder Bremen (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Köln (K) had 52% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 48%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.61 to 2.20.

What was the final score of Köln (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Köln (K) 1-4 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Werder Bremen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Köln (K) 33%, draw 25%, Werder Bremen (K) 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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