Slovakya U21 1-3 Portekiz U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
33%
4.08
Away
38%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.13
1/2
5%
20.0
1/X
4%
15.8
X/1
14%
8.94
X/2
18%
4.16
X/X EV+ ✗
20%
6.58
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.19
2/X
9%
15.55
Value flag · X/X at 6.58 — our 20% vs market 11.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+4.9pp
33%
Draw
21%
+11.7pp
38%
Away Win
55%
-16.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovakya U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz U21 EU Bookmakers 59%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.11/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+63% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovakya U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Portekiz U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.08.2011 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 1-1 HT 0-0 Slovakya U21 Slovakya U21 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovakya U21
1-3
AWAY Portekiz U21
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovakya U21 vs Portekiz U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz U21 got the better of Slovakya U21 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and on the day Portekiz U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Slovakya U21 had 42% of the ball to Portekiz U21's 58%, shots finished 11-24.

What was the final score of Slovakya U21 vs Portekiz U21?

Slovakya U21 1-3 Portekiz U21 in the Friendlies on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovakya U21 vs Portekiz U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portekiz U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Slovakya U21 29%, draw 33%, Portekiz U21 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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