Arnavutluk U21 4-0 Moldova U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 30% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.63
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
7%
4.47
X/2
14%
7.76
X/X
15%
4.87
2/1
5%
24.3
2/2
12%
5.7
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.9pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutluk U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Moldova U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +61%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arnavutluk U21
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Moldova U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.11.2024 Arnavutluk U21 Arnavutluk U21 1-1 Moldova U21 Moldova U21 HAZ
06.09.2012 Moldova U21 Moldova U21 2-1 HT 1-0 Arnavutluk U21 Arnavutluk U21 U21
06.09.2011 Arnavutluk U21 Arnavutluk U21 4-3 HT 0-0 Moldova U21 Moldova U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutluk U21
4-0
AWAY Moldova U21
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arnavutluk U21 vs Moldova U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutluk U21 cruised past Moldova U21 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arnavutluk U21 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Arnavutluk U21 had 64% of the ball to Moldova U21's 36%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arnavutluk U21 and 2.00 for Moldova U21.

What was the final score of Arnavutluk U21 vs Moldova U21?

Arnavutluk U21 4-0 Moldova U21 in the Friendlies on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutluk U21 vs Moldova U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arnavutluk U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arnavutluk U21 41%, draw 27%, Moldova U21 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arnavutluk U21), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arnavutluk U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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