Arnavutluk U21 1-1 Moldova U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
8%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.14
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.5
X/1 EV+
29%
3.92
X/2
8%
9.98
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1
11%
23.4
2/2
12%
7.78
2/X
6%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutluk U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Moldova U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +72%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arnavutluk U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Moldova U21
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
06.09.2012 Moldova U21 Moldova U21 2-1 HT 1-0 Arnavutluk U21 Arnavutluk U21 U21
06.09.2011 Arnavutluk U21 Arnavutluk U21 4-3 HT 0-0 Moldova U21 Moldova U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutluk U21
1-1
AWAY Moldova U21
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arnavutluk U21 vs Moldova U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutluk U21 and Moldova U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Arnavutluk U21 at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arnavutluk U21 had 47% of the ball to Moldova U21's 53%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Arnavutluk U21 and 2.50 for Moldova U21.

What was the final score of Arnavutluk U21 vs Moldova U21?

Arnavutluk U21 1-1 Moldova U21 in the Friendlies on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutluk U21 vs Moldova U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arnavutluk U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Arnavutluk U21 55%, draw 21%, Moldova U21 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arnavutluk U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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