Almanya U21 3-0 Danimarka U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
8.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.47 — our 29% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
19%
4.18
X/2
9%
9.72
X/X
12%
5.87
2/1
9%
21.35
2/2
10%
6.91
2/X
9%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almanya U21 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Danimarka U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.11/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.63
+16% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
482 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almanya U21
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Danimarka U21
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.82 xG 2.19
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
481 Passes 374
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2021 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 2-2 HT 0-0 Almanya U21 Almanya U21 U21
17.06.2019 Almanya U21 Almanya U21 3-1 HT 1-0 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 U21
21.06.2017 Almanya U21 Almanya U21 3-0 HT 0-0 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 U21
03.09.2015 Almanya U21 Almanya U21 2-1 HT 0-1 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 HAZ
20.06.2015 Almanya U21 Almanya U21 3-0 HT 1-0 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almanya U21
3-0
AWAY Danimarka U21
1.41 xG 0.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
404 Passes 438
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Almanya U21 vs Danimarka U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya U21 cruised past Danimarka U21 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almanya U21 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Almanya U21 had 48% of the ball to Danimarka U21's 52%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.41 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Almanya U21 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Almanya U21 and 0.80 for Danimarka U21.

What was the final score of Almanya U21 vs Danimarka U21?

Almanya U21 3-0 Danimarka U21 in the Friendlies on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almanya U21 vs Danimarka U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almanya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Almanya U21 50%, draw 27%, Danimarka U21 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya U21) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya U21) ✗ Under 2.5
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