Bulgaristan U21 1-0 Türkiye U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Nov 2024

Bulgaristan U21
1-0
Türkiye U21
📅15/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Bulgaristan U21 vs Türkiye U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
7%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.39
1/2
9%
23.4
1/X
6%
15.4
X/1
7%
8.4
X/2
13%
4.12
X/X
18%
5.21
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.39
2/X
4%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bulgaristan U21 v Türkiye U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bulgaristan U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkiye U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bulgaristan U21 1-0 Türkiye U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bulgaristan U21
1-0
AWAY Türkiye U21
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bulgaristan U21 vs Türkiye U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bulgaristan U21 squeezed past Türkiye U21 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Türkiye U21 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bulgaristan U21 had 55% of the ball to Türkiye U21's 45%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Bulgaristan U21 vs Türkiye U21?

Bulgaristan U21 1-0 Türkiye U21 in the Friendlies on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bulgaristan U21 vs Türkiye U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Türkiye U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bulgaristan U21 26%, draw 28%, Türkiye U21 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Türkiye U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Türkiye U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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