Walter Ferretti 2-1 Rancho Santana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.14/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/1.98
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rancho Santana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.09.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 0-1 HT 0-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Rancho Santana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti squeezed past Rancho Santana 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Walter Ferretti as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Rancho Santana?

Walter Ferretti 2-1 Rancho Santana in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Rancho Santana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 53%, draw 24%, Rancho Santana 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walter Ferretti) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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