Deportivo Ocotal 1-0 UNAN Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 48%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.28/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/2.02
-6% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
256 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY UNAN Managua
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
15.04.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
18.02.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-2 HT 1-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
29.10.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
27.08.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
02.04.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 2-4 HT 0-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs UNAN Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Ocotal nicked a narrow win over UNAN Managua 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Ocotal found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UNAN Managua led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 1.83 for UNAN Managua.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs UNAN Managua?

Deportivo Ocotal 1-0 UNAN Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs UNAN Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Ocotal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 40%, draw 22%, UNAN Managua 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) ✗ BTTS Yes
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