UNAN Managua 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
13%
1/X
15%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.1pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.33/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.39
+66% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-2 HT 1-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
29.10.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
27.08.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
02.04.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 2-4 HT 0-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
10.02.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-0 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
23.10.2022 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-3 HT 1-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UNAN Managua
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua and Deportivo Ocotal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, UNAN Managua had 52% of the ball to Deportivo Ocotal's 48%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for UNAN Managua and 2.17 for Deportivo Ocotal.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal?

UNAN Managua 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated a UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 39%, draw 30%, Deportivo Ocotal 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UNAN Managua), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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