Orgánica Masachapa 1-2 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

Orgánica Masachapa
1-2 HT 1-0
Matagalpa
📅15/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2025/2026

Orgánica Masachapa vs Matagalpa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orgánica Masachapa v Matagalpa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orgánica Masachapa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
1.80/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+30% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -56%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –

Orgánica Masachapa vs Matagalpa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orgánica Masachapa
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 3-2 HT 0-1 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
30.10.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 5-0 HT 4-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
27.08.2023 Orgánica Masachapa 2-1 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Orgánica Masachapa vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa edged past Orgánica Masachapa 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Matagalpa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Matagalpa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orgánica Masachapa and 3.00 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Orgánica Masachapa vs Matagalpa?

Orgánica Masachapa 1-2 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orgánica Masachapa vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orgánica Masachapa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Orgánica Masachapa 40%, draw 27%, Matagalpa 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orgánica Masachapa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orgánica Masachapa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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