UNAN Managua 3-0 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

UNAN Managua
3-0 HT 1-0
Deportivo Ocotal
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2024/2025

UNAN Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UNAN Managua v Deportivo Ocotal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 22%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.74/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.69
-16% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

UNAN Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.04.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
18.02.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-2 HT 1-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
29.10.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
27.08.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
02.04.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 2-4 HT 0-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
10.02.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-0 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua cruised past Deportivo Ocotal 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had UNAN Managua as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Ocotal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UNAN Managua and 2.00 for Deportivo Ocotal.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal?

UNAN Managua 3-0 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated a UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 50%, draw 28%, Deportivo Ocotal 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UNAN Managua) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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