Morecambe 2-0 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Nov 2025

📅18/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.89
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
9%
5.05
X/2
13%
7.09
X/X
9%
5.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.55
2/2
15%
4.87
2/X
9%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morecambe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.00/3.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.39
+31% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
194 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 161 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morecambe
2-0
AWAY Brackley Town
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Morecambe vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morecambe beat Brackley Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Morecambe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Morecambe had 62% of the ball to Brackley Town's 38%, shots finished 12-3.

What was the final score of Morecambe vs Brackley Town?

Morecambe 2-0 Brackley Town in the England - National League on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morecambe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 41%, draw 26%, Brackley Town 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Morecambe), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Morecambe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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