Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tacikistan ran out comfortable winners over Doğu Timor 5-0 away from home in the Asian Cup Qualifiers on 18 Nov 2025. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was favoured at 64%.
On the day, Doğu Timor had 45% of the ball to Tacikistan's 55%, shots finished 4-23.
What was the final score of Doğu Timor vs Tacikistan?
Doğu Timor 0-5 Tacikistan in the Asian Cup Qualifiers on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Doğu Timor vs Tacikistan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tacikistan win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Doğu Timor 14%, draw 21%, Tacikistan 64%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tacikistan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.