Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
0-2
HT 0-1
Tayland
ASKE
Tayland ran out comfortable winners over Sri Lanka 4-0 away from home in the Asian Cup Qualifiers on 18 Nov 2025. Half-time: 0-1.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Sri Lanka had 60% of the ball to Tayland's 40%, shots finished 8-12.
Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tayland lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sri Lanka and 1.50 for Tayland.
What was the final score of Sri Lanka vs Tayland?
Sri Lanka 0-4 Tayland in the Asian Cup Qualifiers on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sri Lanka vs Tayland?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tayland win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sri Lanka 14%, draw 23%, Tayland 63%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tayland), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.