Karadağ U21 vs İtalya U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karadağ U21 v İtalya U21 — Team-Based Signals
Karadağ U21 vs İtalya U21 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
İtalya U21
U21
1-0
HT 0-0
Karadağ U21
U21
Karadağ U21 1-4 İtalya U21 — Actual Match Statistics
İtalya U21 ran out comfortable winners over Karadağ U21 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İtalya U21 as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Karadağ U21 had 44% of the ball to İtalya U21's 56%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.51 to 3.01.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İtalya U21 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Karadağ U21 and 1.33 for İtalya U21.
What was the final score of Karadağ U21 vs İtalya U21?
Karadağ U21 1-4 İtalya U21 in the European U21 on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karadağ U21 vs İtalya U21?
Before kick-off our model rated an İtalya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Karadağ U21 19%, draw 18%, İtalya U21 64%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya U21), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.