Espanyol 1-1 Valencia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 18 Dec 2024

Espanyol
1-1 HT 1-0
Valencia
📅18/12/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Espanyol vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.07
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.7
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
20%
4.89
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
5.82
X/X
9%
3.46
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
9%
4.8
2/X
9%
14.8
Value flag · X/2 at 5.82 — our 20% vs market 13.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Espanyol v Valencia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.25/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.30
-12% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.6 Crosses 17.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Espanyol vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Valencia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
313 Passes 326
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.05.2023 Valencia Valencia 2-2 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
02.10.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 2-2 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
14.05.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 1-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
31.12.2021 Valencia Valencia 1-2 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
16.07.2020 Valencia Valencia 1-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
02.11.2019 Espanyol Espanyol 1-2 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1

Espanyol 1-1 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
1-1
AWAY Valencia
2.09 xG 1.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
315 Passes 395
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Valencia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol and Valencia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Espanyol had 46% of the ball to Valencia's 54%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 2.09 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valencia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Espanyol and 1.50 for Valencia.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Valencia?

Espanyol 1-1 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Valencia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 39%, draw 26%, Valencia 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Espanyol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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