St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 1-2 Hammarby (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
46%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.15
Over Pick
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
18%
+14.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
46%
Away Win
61%
-15.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-38% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
277 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 84%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hammarby (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.69 xG 1.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
260 Passes 411
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.10.2024 Hammarby (K) Hammarby (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
1-2
AWAY Hammarby (K)
0.47 xG 2.66
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
194 Passes 457
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Hammarby (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby (K) edged past St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hammarby (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) had 35% of the ball to Hammarby (K)'s 65%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.47 to 2.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hammarby (K)'s control.

What was the final score of St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Hammarby (K)?

St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 1-2 Hammarby (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Hammarby (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 32%, draw 22%, Hammarby (K) 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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