Gor Mahia 3-0 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.52
Over 2.5
31%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.8pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.6pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.72/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.49
+71% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -49%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.03.2022 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 2-1 HT 2-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gor Mahia
3-0
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Ulinzi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia ran out comfortable winners over Ulinzi Stars 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

On the day, Gor Mahia had 58% of the ball to Ulinzi Stars's 42%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Ulinzi Stars?

Gor Mahia 3-0 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Ulinzi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 43%, draw 25%, Ulinzi Stars 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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