Talanta 0-1 Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.87
Draw
24%
2.88
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+10.6pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.7pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-4.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.7pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talanta EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Police EU Bookmakers 50%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.82/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +0%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
227 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talanta
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Police
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.10.2023 Police Police 1-1 Talanta KEN
09.04.2022 Police Police 1-1 Talanta KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talanta
0-1
AWAY Police
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Talanta vs Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police nicked a narrow win over Talanta 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Police as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Talanta had 51% of the ball to Police's 49%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Talanta and 1.00 for Police.

What was the final score of Talanta vs Police?

Talanta 0-1 Police in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talanta vs Police?

Before kick-off our model rated an Police win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Talanta 33%, draw 24%, Police 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Police), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Police) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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