Sporting CP 2-1 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
22.55
X/1
24%
3.46
X/2
7%
20.4
X/X
7%
7.31
2/1
13%
24.3
2/2
7%
16.7
2/X
6%
23.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.2pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.7pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 12%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
5.10/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.60
+90% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
454 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Santa Clara
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.83 xG 0.61
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
542 Passes 183
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
30.11.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
01.04.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-0 HT 2-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
08.10.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
14.05.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
26.01.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara PORLC
07.01.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 3-2 HT 1-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
2-1
AWAY Santa Clara
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP edged past Santa Clara 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting CP had 71% of the ball to Santa Clara's 29%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sporting CP and 1.00 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Santa Clara?

Sporting CP 2-1 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Cup on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 62%, draw 20%, Santa Clara 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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