Sporting CP 0-1 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

Sporting CP
0-1 HT 0-1
Santa Clara
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Sporting CP vs Santa Clara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
13%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.59
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
28.0
X/1
22%
3.9
X/2
4%
25.0
X/X
7%
9.46
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
5%
19.65
2/X
6%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
74%
-5.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.9pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+3.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting CP v Santa Clara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
2.36/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.10
+11% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -4%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
456 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
23.1 Crosses 12.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Sporting CP vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Clara
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.81 xG 0.60
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
518 Passes 201
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
01.04.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-0 HT 2-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
08.10.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
14.05.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
26.01.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara PORLC
07.01.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 3-2 HT 1-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
05.03.2021 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR

Sporting CP 0-1 Santa Clara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
0-1
AWAY Santa Clara
1.69 xG 0.37
74% Ball Possession 26%
21 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
571 Passes 152
92% Pass Accuracy 67%
45 Box Touches 5
36 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara nicked a narrow win over Sporting CP 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Sporting CP carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting CP had 74% of the ball to Santa Clara's 26%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 1.69 to 0.37 — on chances, Sporting CP could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sporting CP and 1.00 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Santa Clara?

Sporting CP 0-1 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 69%, draw 18%, Santa Clara 13%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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