Nacional 0-0 Boavista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.95
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.05
X/1
15%
4.72
X/2
13%
8.47
X/X
13%
4.84
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
12%
6.73
2/X
8%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
2.05/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.34
+18% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.7 Crosses 15.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Boavista
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 0.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
288 Passes 220
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2021 Boavista Boavista 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Nacional POR
19.09.2020 Nacional Nacional 3-3 HT 2-2 Boavista Boavista POR
14.04.2019 Boavista Boavista 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Nacional POR
09.12.2018 Nacional Nacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
29.07.2018 Nacional Nacional 2-1 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista PORLC
06.05.2017 Boavista Boavista 2-2 HT 2-2 Nacional Nacional POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional
0-0
AWAY Boavista
1.03 xG 0.77
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
370 Passes 191
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional vs Boavista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional and Boavista fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nacional had 62% of the ball to Boavista's 38%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.03 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nacional and 1.17 for Boavista.

What was the final score of Nacional vs Boavista?

Nacional 0-0 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional vs Boavista?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nacional 39%, draw 28%, Boavista 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5
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