UTA Arad 1-5 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania Cup, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
245 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
0W-4D-2L
AWAY SSC Farul
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 0.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
208 Passes 347
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-1 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
16.12.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-0 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
26.10.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-2 HT 1-2 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
24.02.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
02.10.2022 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
20.11.2021 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
1-5
AWAY SSC Farul
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul cruised past UTA Arad 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was UTA Arad at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, UTA Arad had 46% of the ball to SSC Farul's 54%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for UTA Arad and 1.00 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs SSC Farul?

UTA Arad 1-5 SSC Farul in the Romania Cup on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 44%, draw 24%, SSC Farul 32%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UTA Arad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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