Panionios 0-2 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+8.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panionios EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 49%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.81/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.20
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panionios
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
15.06.2020 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Panionios Panionios YUN
23.01.2020 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-0 HT 1-0 Panionios Panionios YUN
20.10.2019 Panionios Panionios 0-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
03.08.2019 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Panionios Panionios HAZ
05.05.2019 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-0 HT 1-0 Panionios Panionios YUN
30.01.2019 Panionios Panionios 1-0 HT 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panionios
0-2
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panionios vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis saw off Panionios 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Asteras Tripolis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Panionios had 40% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 60%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Panionios and 1.17 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Panionios vs Asteras Tripolis?

Panionios 0-2 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Cup on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panionios vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Panionios 35%, draw 28%, Asteras Tripolis 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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