AEK Atina 1-0 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 32%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.32/0.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.89
+100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
2W-3D-1L
AWAY PAOK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.83 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
295 Passes 208
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 1-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
28.04.2024 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
07.04.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-2 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
11.02.2024 PAOK PAOK 1-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
30.10.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
24.05.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
1-0
AWAY PAOK
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina edged past PAOK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, AEK Atina had 64% of the ball to PAOK's 36%, shots finished 10-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AEK Atina and 1.17 for PAOK.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs PAOK?

AEK Atina 1-0 PAOK in the Greece - Cup on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 41%, draw 28%, PAOK 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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