Antigua GFC 4-2 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 18 Dec 2025

📅18/12/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
57%
+4.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.73/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.86
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Aurora
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 Aurora Aurora 0-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
26.10.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-2 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora GUAT
16.08.2025 Aurora Aurora 3-2 HT 3-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antigua GFC
4-2
AWAY Aurora
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC saw off Aurora 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Antigua GFC had 42% of the ball to Aurora's 58%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aurora led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.67 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Aurora?

Antigua GFC 4-2 Aurora in the Guatemala - National League on 18/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 61%, draw 22%, Aurora 17%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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