SV Spakenburg 3-6 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 18 Dec 2025

📅18/12/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
60%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.46
Over 2.5
60%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
7.93
2-3 Goals
36%
2.32
4-5 Goals
28%
2.31
6+ Goals
12%
3.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
28%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.9pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.7pp
60%
Away Win
68%
-7.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
25%
+14.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
75%
-14.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 72%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.52/3.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.81/0.97
+52% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -15%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
229 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.4
19.0 Crosses 21.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Spakenburg
3-6
AWAY Twente
1.69 xG 4.43
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 31
8 Shots on Target 15
5 Corners 3
327 Passes 471
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 41
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente cruised past SV Spakenburg 6-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, SV Spakenburg had 44% of the ball to Twente's 56%, shots finished 14-31, expected goals 1.69 to 4.43.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Twente?

SV Spakenburg 3-6 Twente in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 18/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 21%, draw 19%, Twente 60%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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