Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Willem II v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals
Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
Sparta Rotterdam
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
Willem II
HOL
Willem II 1-5 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics
Sparta Rotterdam cruised past Willem II 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
On the day, Willem II had 37% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 63%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.10 to 2.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Willem II and 2.50 for Sparta Rotterdam.
What was the final score of Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Willem II 1-5 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 18/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Willem II 33%, draw 23%, Sparta Rotterdam 44%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.