Willem II 2-4 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jul 2024

Willem II
2-4 HT 1-4
Sparta Rotterdam
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Willem II v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 46%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.69/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.54
-53% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +144%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
326 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
– Crosses 21.0
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.24 xG 1.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
321 Passes 297
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Willem II Willem II 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HAZ
13.02.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
06.11.2021 Willem II Willem II 0-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
28.02.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
13.12.2020 Willem II Willem II 1-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
18.12.2019 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOK

Willem II 2-4 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
2-4
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam beat Willem II 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Willem II had 50% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 50%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Willem II and 1.67 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Willem II 2-4 Sparta Rotterdam in the Friendlies on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Willem II 31%, draw 28%, Sparta Rotterdam 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ BTTS Yes
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