Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
12%
4.18
X/2
11%
10.05
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1
10%
24.7
2/2
12%
8.39
2/X
7%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.56/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.49
-18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
354 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
24.0 Crosses 18.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Willem II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 0.90
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
355 Passes 328
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Willem II Willem II 1-2 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
27.07.2024 Willem II Willem II 2-4 HT 1-4 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HAZ
29.07.2023 Willem II Willem II 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HAZ
13.02.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
06.11.2021 Willem II Willem II 0-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
28.02.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
4-0
AWAY Willem II
2.54 xG 0.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
376 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam swept aside Willem II 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 54% of the ball to Willem II's 46%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.54 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 0.83 for Willem II.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 44%, draw 28%, Willem II 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Under 2.5
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