Karlsruher SC 2-1 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 Jan 2024

Karlsruher SC
2-1 HT 1-1
Osnabrück
📅19/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Karlsruher SC vs Osnabrück Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.21
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.54 — our 24% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.0
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
17%
3.99
X/2
7%
10.35
X/X
13%
6.05
2/1
9%
20.6
2/2
10%
7.39
2/X
8%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karlsruher SC v Osnabrück — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.69/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.75
-32% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
386 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 68%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
25.9 Crosses 14.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Karlsruher SC vs Osnabrück Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.80 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
334 Passes 245
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-3 HT 1-2 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
03.04.2021 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
05.12.2020 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-2 HT 1-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
16.02.2020 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
01.09.2019 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-0 HT 1-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
02.03.2019 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3

Karlsruher SC 2-1 Osnabrück — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
2-1
AWAY Osnabrück
2.30 xG 1.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
291 Passes 287
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC squeezed past Osnabrück 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karlsruher SC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 51% of the ball to Osnabrück's 49%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.30 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karlsruher SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Karlsruher SC and 1.50 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Osnabrück?

Karlsruher SC 2-1 Osnabrück in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 51%, draw 26%, Osnabrück 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlsruher SC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✗ Under 2.5
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