Afogadense vs Nautico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Afogadense v Nautico — Team-Based Signals
Afogadense vs Nautico Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Nautico squeezed past Afogadense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Afogadense at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nautico led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Afogadense and 1.67 for Nautico.
What was the final score of Afogadense vs Nautico?
Afogadense 0-1 Nautico in the Brazil - Pernambucano 1 on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Afogadense vs Nautico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Afogadense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Afogadense 48%, draw 23%, Nautico 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Afogadense), Over 2.5 went the other way.