CA Porto 2-3 Central SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Pernambucano 1, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
51%
2.7
Away
19%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
72%
Over
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
39%
4-5
19%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
41%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.2pp
51%
Draw
33%
+17.4pp
19%
Away Win
28%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Porto The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Central SC The Market 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.00
-28% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Porto
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Central SC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.01.2023 CA Porto CA Porto 0-0 HT 0-0 Central SC Central SC BRPER1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Porto
2-3
AWAY Central SC
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH CA Porto vs Central SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central SC nicked a narrow win over CA Porto 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA Porto had 38% of the ball to Central SC's 62%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of CA Porto vs Central SC?

CA Porto 2-3 Central SC in the Brazil - Pernambucano 1 on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Porto vs Central SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CA Porto 30%, draw 51%, Central SC 19%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5
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