19/01/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-0
Juarez U23 vs Cruz Azul U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
54%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
21%
Draw
19%
23%
Away Win
11%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juarez U23 v Cruz Azul U23 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Juarez U23
EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
Cruz Azul U23
EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
490 · 88%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
343 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Juarez U23 vs Cruz Azul U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Juarez U23 cruised past Cruz Azul U23 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Juarez U23 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Juarez U23 vs Cruz Azul U23?
Juarez U23 3-0 Cruz Azul U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juarez U23 vs Cruz Azul U23?
Before kick-off our model rated a Juarez U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Juarez U23 56%, draw 21%, Cruz Azul U23 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juarez U23), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Juarez U23)
✓ Over 2.5
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MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
19 Jan 2024