Algeciras 1-0 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.64
Over
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.52
2-3
40%
1.71
4-5
18%
4.16
6+
8%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.52 — our 34% vs market 31.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante The Market 29%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.35/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.22
-3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Intercity Alicante
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-1 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
10.02.2024 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 1-0 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
11.11.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 0-1 HT 0-0 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
1-0
AWAY Intercity Alicante
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras squeezed past Intercity Alicante 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Algeciras as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Algeciras had 59% of the ball to Intercity Alicante's 41%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Intercity Alicante led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Algeciras and 0.67 for Intercity Alicante.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Intercity Alicante?

Algeciras 1-0 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 42%, draw 27%, Intercity Alicante 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Algeciras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Algeciras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
19 Jan 2025
14:00 FC Andorra vs Athletic Bilbao II Analysis →
14:00 Zamora CF vs Osasuna II Analysis →
14:00 Merida AD vs Marbella Analysis →
14:00 Alcoyano vs UD Ibiza Analysis →
14:00 Unionistas vs Celta Vigo II Analysis →
17:30 Barcelona II vs Ponferradina Analysis →