Merida AD vs Marbella Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Merida AD v Marbella — Team-Based Signals
Merida AD vs Marbella Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Marbella
İS3
3-2
HT 1-1
Merida AD
İS3
Merida AD 4-2 Marbella — Actual Match Statistics
Merida AD got the better of Marbella 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Merida AD found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Merida AD had 50% of the ball to Marbella's 50%, shots finished 9-8.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Marbella led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Merida AD and 1.33 for Marbella.
What was the final score of Merida AD vs Marbella?
Merida AD 4-2 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Marbella?
Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 40%, draw 30%, Marbella 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.