Sampdoria (K) 2-2 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
64%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
4%
X/2
30%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
12%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.2pp
64%
Away Win
70%
-5.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.76/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.56
-34% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +61%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.7
12.1 Crosses 25.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria (K)
0W-0D-4L
AWAY AC Milan (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.92 xG 2.46
38% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
208 Passes 323
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 43
18 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.10.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 1-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
18.05.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
21.04.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
14.02.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria (K)
2-2
AWAY AC Milan (K)
0.51 xG 1.83
29% Ball Possession 71%
3 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 14
135 Passes 476
62% Pass Accuracy 85%
4 Box Touches 63
4 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sampdoria (K) vs AC Milan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria (K) and AC Milan (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AC Milan (K) at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sampdoria (K) had 29% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 71%, shots finished 3-28, expected goals 0.51 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sampdoria (K) and 2.50 for AC Milan (K).

What was the final score of Sampdoria (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Sampdoria (K) 2-2 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria (K) 11%, draw 25%, AC Milan (K) 64%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AC Milan (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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