Real Madrid (K) 0-1 Eibar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.11
Draw
33%
8.78
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
85%
-51.9pp
33%
Draw
8%
+24.9pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+26.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.61/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.58
-4% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +87%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
38.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
20.6 Crosses 10.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Eibar (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.53 xG 0.11
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
553 Passes 174
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.03.2024 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Eibar (K) Eibar (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
0-1
AWAY Eibar (K)
1.68 xG 0.37
78% Ball Possession 22%
24 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
574 Passes 73
88% Pass Accuracy 40%
45 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Eibar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar (K) nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Eibar (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 78% of the ball to Eibar (K)'s 22%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 1.68 to 0.37 — on chances, Real Madrid (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Eibar (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 0-1 Eibar (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Eibar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Eibar (K) 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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