Ordino 0-1 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordino EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 30%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.39
-100% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordino
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-0 HT 0-0 Ordino Ordino AND
03.03.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-1 HT 0-0 Ordino Ordino AND
10.12.2023 Ordino Ordino 1-0 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
22.10.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-1 HT 1-1 Ordino Ordino AND
02.04.2023 Ordino Ordino 1-1 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
05.03.2023 Ordino Ordino 0-3 HT 0-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ordino
0-1
AWAY Penya Encarnada
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ordino vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada squeezed past Ordino 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Penya Encarnada found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ordino had 58% of the ball to Penya Encarnada's 42%, shots finished 19-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ordino and 1.33 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of Ordino vs Penya Encarnada?

Ordino 0-1 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordino vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordino win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ordino 39%, draw 31%, Penya Encarnada 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ordino), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ordino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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