Al Hamriyah 2-2 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒16:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
2.07
Over
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hamriyah The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid The Market 28%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
2.15/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.86
+19% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hamriyah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Thaid
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-3 HT 1-0 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
17.12.2023 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
12.02.2023 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
02.10.2022 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
27.02.2022 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
12.11.2021 Al Thaid Al Thaid 2-3 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hamriyah and Al Thaid shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Hamriyah at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hamriyah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Hamriyah and 1.00 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid?

Al Hamriyah 2-2 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hamriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Hamriyah 50%, draw 23%, Al Thaid 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Hamriyah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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