Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 FAR Rabat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
60%
1.6
Over
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No Pick
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.38
2-3
38%
1.72
4-5
19%
4.47
6+
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.96
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.9
X/1
21%
3.78
X/2
6%
12.35
X/X
8%
4.34
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
9%
11.75
2/X
8%
19.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
60%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.9pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FAR Rabat The Market 18%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
0.77/0.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.68
-38% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
447 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
8.0 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
0W-1D-0L
AWAY FAR Rabat
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.53 xG 0.90
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
502 Passes 308
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 1-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
1-1
AWAY FAR Rabat
0.95 xG 0.48
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
553 Passes 215
92% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs FAR Rabat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns and FAR Rabat couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mamelodi Sundowns at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 69% of the ball to FAR Rabat's 31%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.95 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs FAR Rabat?

Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 FAR Rabat in the CAF Champions League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs FAR Rabat?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 58%, draw 23%, FAR Rabat 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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