Raja Casablanca 1-0 Maniema Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.91
Over
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.67
No
56%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.26
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
24%
3.27
6+
11%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
28.5
X/1
13%
3.44
X/2
4%
26.0
X/X
7%
7.07
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
4%
27.5
2/X
7%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Raja Casablanca win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
65%
Home Win
76%
-10.9pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.5pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
33%
+10.9pp
56%
BTTS No
67%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Casablanca The Market 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Maniema Union The Market 9%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.02
+44% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +140%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
468 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Casablanca
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Maniema Union
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 0.40
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
165 Passes 333
63% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 13
5 Crosses 24
07.12.2024 Maniema Union 1-1 HT 0-1 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raja Casablanca
1-0
AWAY Maniema Union
3.11 xG 1.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 7
331 Passes 215
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 38
20 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Raja Casablanca vs Maniema Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Casablanca edged past Maniema Union 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Raja Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Raja Casablanca had 57% of the ball to Maniema Union's 43%, shots finished 20-21, expected goals 3.11 to 1.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Raja Casablanca's control.

What was the final score of Raja Casablanca vs Maniema Union?

Raja Casablanca 1-0 Maniema Union in the CAF Champions League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Casablanca vs Maniema Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Raja Casablanca 65%, draw 22%, Maniema Union 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Casablanca), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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